Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.196428 0.223458 0.252454 0.285827 0.323128 0.363486 0.410410
2026-01-04 0.163148 0.199835 0.241799 0.293177 0.354203 0.424183 0.510305
2026-01-11 0.136976 0.178973 0.229757 0.295320 0.377306 0.475999 0.603306
2026-01-18 0.119133 0.164896 0.223032 0.301656 0.404467 0.533499 0.706737
2026-01-25 0.105716 0.154182 0.218554 0.309305 0.432755 0.593465 0.816880
2026-02-01 0.091993 0.140967 0.208789 0.308173 0.448393 0.637157 0.908016
2026-02-08 0.080815 0.129707 0.200102 0.307015 0.462989 0.679463 0.999112
2026-02-15 0.071448 0.119810 0.192042 0.305471 0.476169 0.719831 1.089191
2026-02-22 0.065641 0.114566 0.190112 0.312377 0.501561 0.778459 1.208072
2026-03-01 0.059012 0.107152 0.183964 0.311999 0.515541 0.820750 1.304993
2026-03-08 0.053369 0.100658 0.178513 0.311972 0.529622 0.863481 1.404364
2026-03-15 0.048528 0.094940 0.173682 0.312314 0.543937 0.906925 1.506654
2026-03-22 0.044910 0.091098 0.171814 0.317686 0.567213 0.966460 1.638699
2026-03-29 0.042094 0.088394 0.171616 0.325788 0.595432 1.035343 1.789266
2026-04-05 0.038708 0.084201 0.168341 0.328155 0.613958 1.089384 1.918629
2026-04-12 0.036304 0.081631 0.167736 0.335128 0.640722 1.158264 2.075679
2026-04-19 0.034302 0.079628 0.167964 0.343541 0.670411 1.233442 2.246805
2026-04-26 0.031349 0.075286 0.163273 0.342299 0.682515 1.279020 2.369815
2026-05-03 0.028698 0.071263 0.158802 0.341026 0.694302 1.324410 2.494415
2026-05-10 0.026273 0.067435 0.154338 0.339330 0.705024 1.368235 2.618094
2026-05-17 0.024953 0.065955 0.154558 0.346921 0.733745 1.445566 2.804479
2026-05-24 0.023032 0.062833 0.151007 0.346507 0.746838 1.494958 2.942773
2026-05-31 0.021318 0.059994 0.147788 0.346477 0.760572 1.546035 3.086238